One Sided EV
One Sided EV Betting Software
Some markets are priced on one side only, so we can't accurately find the true probability. This tool compares the over across every bookmaker offering it and flags the ones out of line with the market.
The short version
What is One Sided EV?
Some markets are priced differently to the rest. Most bookmakers only put up the over line, so there is no under to price it against, and the usual way of working out a fair price cannot be applied.
One Sided EV compares these single sided options. It takes the over price from every bookmaker offering the line, applies an assumed market margin and estimates what the price should be. Anything sitting well above that estimate is an outlier.
Due to this, the EV% is not as accurate as the main EV tool, it is to be used as a guide to spot mispriced lines which could be value, in conjunction with your own research. This tool is for advanced users as you can not simply follow the selections as you can for the regular EV tool.
How the price is judged
One side of the market is all there is
On the main EV scanner we take both sides of a market, which lets us strip a bookmaker’s margin out exactly, giving us an extremely accurate fair odds. Some markets rarely offer both. When a bookie prices the over and leaves the under alone, that allows them to set whatever margin they would like giving us little idea on their belief on the true odds of that market.
Shannon Neale over 14.5 disposals
3.75
1.94
1.90
1.90
1.88
1.88——————Thirteen bookmakers price the over. Not one of them prices the under, which is the problem this tool works around.
Instead we take the overs from every bookmaker pricing the line, apply an assumed market margin and arrive at an estimated fair price. Here that lands at 2.42 while bet365 is offering 3.75, so bet365 is the outlier and the opportunity is flagged.
Because the margin is assumed, the EV% is a guide, not a precise figure. Read it as a guide only and don't follow the exact figures.
Shannon Neale
Over 14.5 Disposals
3.75Stake
$50
Est. fair odds
2.42
Win probability
41.41%
Inside the tool
Every line, measured against the market
Each line arrives as a single row with the estimated fair odds and the gap worked out, and expanding it shows you every other price so you can judge the outlier yourself.
What each column tells you
- Sport
- The league the market belongs to
- Match
- The game, with the start time in your local timezone
- Market
- The market type, for example disposals or marks milestones
- Selection
- The exact outcome to back
- Bookmaker
- Who is offering it. Click the logo to go straight to their site
- Odds
- The current price, always worth checking before you place
- EV%
- How far the price sits above our estimated fair odds
- Stake
- Recommended stake, sized from your filters
- Info
- Every bookmaker pricing the same line, the estimated fair odds and win probability
- Track
- Sends the bet straight to your tracker, pre-filled
Placing one takes seconds
- 1Expand the row to see what every other bookmaker is pricing the line at
- 2Do your own research to identify if the selection shown actually has an edge.
- 3Click the bookmaker’s logo and place the bet at the stake shown
- 4Hit the + icon to log it in your tracker
The more books being priced for that line, the more accurate the estimated EV % will be.
Filters
Only see the markets worth a look
Six filters decide what reaches your screen. Save a set as your default and it loads automatically every time you open the tool.
Sport
Choose which sports appear. We recommend leaving them all on.
Bookmakers
Narrow it to the bookmakers you actually hold accounts with, so nothing on screen is wasted.
Odds
Set your desired odds range.
EV%
Figures here run higher than on the main EV scanner because the margin is estimated. Use this as a guide only.
Starts in
Limit how far ahead events can be. Closer to the jump is always better for account health.
Stake
Stakes are sized from your bankroll. Rounding to the nearest $5 keeps your betting patterns looking ordinary.
FAQ
One Sided EV FAQ
How is this different to the main EV scanner?
The main EV scanner uses both the over and the under to remove a bookmaker’s margin exactly, which gives extremely accurate fair odds and EV%.
This tool only has the over to work with, so the margin is estimated rather than measured. That covers markets the main scanner cannot reach.
Why are the EV percentages so high?
Bookmakers set whatever margin they want on one sided markets, and they are usually far larger than on a main market. This allows some bookmakers to price selections extremely low compared to what they are worth, making the books offering closer to fair prices look extremely skewed.
A 50% figure does not mean a 50% edge. It means that price is a long way clear of the rest of the market and is worth looking at properly.
Should I bet every line it flags?
No. This tool is to be used as a guide alongside your own research. Expand the row, look at what the rest of the market is pricing, and make the decision yourself.
If you would rather blindly take bets from the software, use the main EV scanner instead.
Included in Sports Premium
Start finding mispriced markets
One Sided EV comes with positive EV, arbitrage, middles, odds comparison, the bet tracker, education modules and premium Discord access.
$19.99/week or $64.99/month